Forex Diamonds
Text summary of the video:
- I talked about a lot of topics in the video today, and even discussed some specific position trades I am in and recommend, so I highly encourage you watch this one, so the text synopsis is going to be much shorter to encourage that =P We've seen a large technical shift towards USD strength that I've been talking about for the last couple of weeks, and there's some good sentiment and correllations behind it as well. Day to day, it's hard to say each might head (bounce, or continuation?), but medium to longer term I think we still have much lower to go on EU, GU, Gold, and stocks. Again watch the video for much more detail. For news tomorrow:
- 0430 UK CPI y/y (headline) (2.0% expected) - I'd stay out if there are any conflicts with the m/m or core numbers.
If it comes out at 2.2%, GBP/USD should rise 40 pips or more in the first 45 minutes of the report.
If it comes out at 1.8% or lower, GBP/USD should sell off 40 pips or more in the first 45 minutes of the report.
- 0500 German ZEW Economic Sentiment (35.0 expected) - Mild positive numbers have given only small upmoves so far, so I'd like to see 15 above expectations for a buy given the downtrend.
If it comes out at 50.0 or higher, EUR/USD should gain 30-40 pips in the first 30 minutes.
If it comes out at 24.0 or lower, EUR/USD should fall 30-40 pips in the first 30 minutes.
- 0830 US Housing Starts & PPI figures- (H.S. expected at 485K) If PPI has a big deviation, I'd stay out and watch, but if the PPI figures come out roughly within 0.1% of expectations, I'd sell EUR/JPY on a Housing Starts at 430K or below, and buy EUR/JPY on a Housing Starts 550K or above looking for 40-50 pips in 35 minutes.
- 0915 US Industrial Production m/m (-1.0% expected) - This small number has gained additional focus lately as people accept the bottom but look for concrete signs there is a good foundation underneath it in the overall economy.
If it comes out at -0.4% or higher, EUR/JPY should rally 40-50 pips in 20 minutes.
If it comes out at -1.6% or lower, EUR/JPY should sell off 40-50 pips in 20 minutes.
- Link to try out our service: Forex Diamonds
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